NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun Says Home Sales Expected to Improve in Second Half of 2026

Home sales are expected to improve modestly in the second half of 2026 if inventory and supply grow. Existing-home sales and median prices are forecasted to rise 4%, with mortgage rates averaging 6.5%. Homeowners may gain about $16,000 in wealth this year. The economy is projected to avoid recession, with unemployment under 5% and 400,000 job gains. The national median home price could reach $1 million in about 25 years. Despite market challenges, various buyer segments remain active, and common myths like needing a 20% down payment persist.

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