Updated forecast now sees existing-home prices rising ~1% by end-2026, below the earlier ~2% call, as softer sales and more listings ease pressure.
Mortgage rates were still forecast near 6% through year-end, but stronger household income growth and slower prices were expected to trim the typical payment yearly.
Inventory was expected to grow, though the outlook was cut to ~4%; single-family starts were revised lower, with 2026 construction seen near 960K homes.
Existing-home sales were projected to rise ~1% in 2026 to ~4.1M, after a slow first half; activity stabilized in Early-Q2 and improved in Mid-Q2.
Sellers were adjusting with more realistic asking prices, helping limit price cuts, while rents were expected to edge down as new rental supply expanded.
U.S.: 2026 Home Price Growth Forecast Slows
